Objective

Reproduce the graphs used in the paper ‘Protestors, Terrorists or Something Else?: How to think about dissident groups’

Data Notes

The data set is a dyad-event-month data set. Its not fully time paneled (you’d need to add zeros to model or plot over time). The data set has 695 named groups, targeting 7 total sectors with 152 event types. It uses data from 2000-01-01 to 2018-02-01.

Proportional Targets of Hostility

To rephrase what I’m looking for: the groups with the most equal distribution of hostility towards various sectors (DIS, GOV, SOC) and those with the least equal distributions.

For this I’m using high hostility but that can be easily changed to a different event type. I’ve also limited to DIS, GOV, and SOC because the others are subsets of these so we don’t want confounding data. It also became clear that limiting to the more active groups was going to be helpful as the smaller sample sizes led to unreliable comparisons.

These are the top ten most distributed groups in the top quartile.

Figure 2

source DIS GOV SOC
Ahrar ash-Sham 0.3385827 0.3228346 0.3385827
Palestine Liberation Organization 0.4175050 0.2615694 0.3209256
Jabhat al-Nusra 0.1811506 0.3996328 0.4192166
Sudan People’s Liberation Army 0.2095238 0.4214286 0.3690476
Fatah 0.4415863 0.2497320 0.3086817
Moro National Liberation Front 0.1246377 0.4521739 0.4231884
Hamas 0.1713062 0.3644540 0.4642398
United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia 0.4398496 0.0939850 0.4661654
Kosovo Liberation Army 0.0632911 0.4683544 0.4683544
Northern Alliance 0.4728916 0.4111446 0.1159639

And the top ten most concentrated groups in the top quartile.

Figure 3

source DIS GOV SOC
Fatah al-Islam 0.0102041 0.9438776 0.0459184
Khmer Rouge 0.0000000 0.0866142 0.9133858
Kachin Independence Army 0.0000000 0.8915094 0.1084906
Karen Rebel 0.0000000 0.8446602 0.1553398
Shan State Army 0.0310078 0.8372093 0.1317829
Mahdi Army 0.0157480 0.8366142 0.1476378
National Democratic Front of Bodoland 0.0440000 0.1280000 0.8280000
National Congress for the Defence of the People 0.0169492 0.8192090 0.1638418
Maoist People’s Liberation Army Nepal 0.0150000 0.1700000 0.8150000
Sudan Revolutionary Front 0.0000000 0.8113208 0.1886792
Tamil Rebel 0.0078329 0.7885117 0.2036554

Disaggregated Over Time

These are the top ten most distributed groups in the top quartile.

Figure 4

Figure 5