Statistical models
|
Model 1 |
Model 2 |
Model 3 |
Model 4 |
Model 5 |
Model 6 |
Model 7 |
Model 8 |
Power-Sharing (binary) |
-0.38 |
|
-0.13 |
|
0.15*** |
|
0.83*** |
|
|
(0.62) |
|
(0.18) |
|
(0.04) |
|
(0.28) |
|
Power-Sharing (No. of seats) |
|
-0.07 |
|
-0.05* |
|
0.03*** |
|
0.09 |
|
|
(0.12) |
|
(0.03) |
|
(0.01) |
|
(0.06) |
Aid / GDP (log) |
0.05 |
0.08 |
-0.03 |
-0.03 |
-0.02* |
-0.02* |
-0.02 |
-0.01 |
|
(0.18) |
(0.18) |
(0.02) |
(0.02) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.07) |
(0.08) |
Power-Sharing (binary) * Aid |
0.61** |
|
0.11 |
|
-0.05*** |
|
-0.24** |
|
|
(0.25) |
|
(0.07) |
|
(0.01) |
|
(0.12) |
|
Power-Sharing (No. of seats) * Aid |
|
0.07* |
|
0.02** |
|
-0.01*** |
|
-0.03* |
|
|
(0.04) |
|
(0.01) |
|
(0.00) |
|
(0.02) |
GDP p/c (log) |
-0.02 |
-0.01 |
-0.03 |
-0.03 |
-0.02 |
-0.02 |
-0.38*** |
-0.37*** |
|
(0.30) |
(0.30) |
(0.03) |
(0.04) |
(0.02) |
(0.02) |
(0.12) |
(0.13) |
Population (log) |
0.15 |
0.11 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
-0.02 |
-0.02* |
0.03 |
0.03 |
|
(0.13) |
(0.13) |
(0.02) |
(0.02) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.10) |
(0.10) |
Conflict Intensity |
0.01 |
-0.08 |
-0.16** |
-0.14 |
0.03 |
0.02 |
0.18 |
0.16 |
|
(0.44) |
(0.44) |
(0.08) |
(0.09) |
(0.03) |
(0.03) |
(0.22) |
(0.22) |
Non-State Violence |
-0.78 |
-0.87 |
-0.29*** |
-0.30*** |
0.03 |
0.03 |
-0.91** |
-0.90** |
|
(0.55) |
(0.56) |
(0.05) |
(0.05) |
(0.03) |
(0.03) |
(0.44) |
(0.45) |
Nat. Res. Rents |
-0.03* |
-0.03** |
-0.01*** |
-0.01*** |
-0.00** |
-0.00** |
-0.00 |
-0.00 |
|
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.00) |
(0.00) |
(0.00) |
(0.00) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
Regime Type |
0.82*** |
0.82*** |
0.11*** |
0.10*** |
0.10*** |
0.10*** |
0.39*** |
0.38*** |
|
(0.07) |
(0.07) |
(0.02) |
(0.02) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.10) |
(0.10) |
Ethnic Frac. |
0.15 |
0.46 |
0.27*** |
0.34*** |
-0.10 |
-0.11 |
0.15 |
0.23 |
|
(0.80) |
(0.77) |
(0.09) |
(0.09) |
(0.07) |
(0.07) |
(0.58) |
(0.57) |
UN PKO |
0.65 |
0.55 |
0.14** |
0.11 |
-0.00 |
-0.01 |
-0.29 |
-0.29 |
|
(0.54) |
(0.55) |
(0.07) |
(0.07) |
(0.03) |
(0.03) |
(0.25) |
(0.25) |
Num. obs. |
263 |
263 |
141 |
141 |
272 |
272 |
273 |
273 |
Adj. R2 (full model) |
0.77 |
0.76 |
0.66 |
0.65 |
0.60 |
0.60 |
0.34 |
0.33 |
Adj. R2 (proj model) |
0.75 |
0.75 |
0.56 |
0.54 |
0.57 |
0.57 |
0.33 |
0.31 |
***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1 |