Statistical models
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
Power-Sharing (binary) -0.55 -0.23** 0.14*** 0.87***
(0.62) (0.11) (0.04) (0.31)
Aid / GDP (log) 0.07 -0.04* -0.02* -0.03
(0.17) (0.02) (0.01) (0.07)
Power-Sharing (binary) * Aid 0.62** 0.16*** -0.06*** -0.27**
(0.25) (0.04) (0.01) (0.13)
GDP p/c (log) 0.13 -0.00 -0.01 -0.38***
(0.34) (0.03) (0.03) (0.13)
Population (log) 0.15 0.03 -0.02* 0.04
(0.13) (0.02) (0.01) (0.10)
Conflict Intensity -0.15 -0.13 0.02 0.09
(0.44) (0.08) (0.04) (0.26)
Non-State Violence -0.75 -0.23*** 0.02 -0.91**
(0.52) (0.06) (0.04) (0.42)
Nat. Res. Rents -0.04** -0.01*** -0.00*** -0.00
(0.01) (0.00) (0.00) (0.01)
Regime Type 0.81*** 0.10*** 0.10*** 0.41***
(0.07) (0.02) (0.01) (0.09)
Election Promise in PA 0.50** 0.09*** 0.01 0.05
(0.20) (0.02) (0.02) (0.16)
Num. obs. 263 141 272 273
Adj. R2 (full model) 0.77 0.65 0.59 0.33
Adj. R2 (proj model) 0.76 0.54 0.56 0.32
***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1