Statistical models
|
Model 1 |
Model 2 |
Model 3 |
Model 4 |
Model 5 |
Model 6 |
Model 7 |
Model 8 |
Model 9 |
Model 10 |
Model 11 |
Model 12 |
Power-Sharing (binary) |
-0.02 |
|
-0.26 |
|
-0.19 |
|
-1.91 |
|
0.27*** |
|
0.02 |
|
|
(0.06) |
|
(0.33) |
|
(0.51) |
|
(1.39) |
|
(0.10) |
|
(0.07) |
|
Power-Sharing (No. of seats) |
|
-0.01 |
|
-0.02 |
|
-0.00 |
|
-0.02 |
|
0.05*** |
|
0.01 |
|
|
(0.01) |
|
(0.05) |
|
(0.08) |
|
(0.16) |
|
(0.02) |
|
(0.02) |
Aid / GDP (log) |
-0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
-0.22 |
-0.17 |
-0.02** |
-0.02** |
-0.00 |
-0.00 |
|
(0.02) |
(0.02) |
(0.13) |
(0.13) |
(0.18) |
(0.18) |
(0.15) |
(0.16) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
Power-Sharing (binary) * Aid |
0.03 |
|
0.35** |
|
0.50** |
|
1.01* |
|
-0.06 |
|
-0.01 |
|
|
(0.03) |
|
(0.14) |
|
(0.22) |
|
(0.57) |
|
(0.04) |
|
(0.02) |
|
Power-Sharing (No. of seats) * Aid |
|
0.01* |
|
0.04 |
|
0.05* |
|
0.04 |
|
-0.01** |
|
-0.00 |
|
|
(0.00) |
|
(0.02) |
|
(0.03) |
|
(0.05) |
|
(0.00) |
|
(0.00) |
GDP p/c (log) |
-0.00 |
-0.00 |
-0.05 |
-0.04 |
-0.10 |
-0.08 |
-0.10 |
-0.08 |
-0.06* |
-0.05 |
-0.03 |
-0.03 |
|
(0.03) |
(0.02) |
(0.25) |
(0.25) |
(0.33) |
(0.34) |
(0.27) |
(0.29) |
(0.03) |
(0.03) |
(0.02) |
(0.02) |
Population (log) |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.09 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.04 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
|
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.10) |
(0.10) |
(0.12) |
(0.12) |
(0.20) |
(0.19) |
(0.02) |
(0.02) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
Conflict Intensity |
0.03 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
-0.01 |
0.14 |
0.07 |
-0.27 |
-0.42 |
0.00 |
-0.01 |
-0.04 |
-0.04 |
|
(0.03) |
(0.03) |
(0.40) |
(0.40) |
(0.53) |
(0.53) |
(0.68) |
(0.75) |
(0.05) |
(0.05) |
(0.04) |
(0.04) |
Non-State Violence |
-0.13*** |
-0.13*** |
-0.41 |
-0.43 |
-0.34 |
-0.37 |
-2.31** |
-2.33** |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
|
(0.04) |
(0.04) |
(0.47) |
(0.48) |
(0.57) |
(0.59) |
(0.92) |
(0.89) |
(0.05) |
(0.05) |
(0.03) |
(0.03) |
Nat. Res. Rents |
-0.00 |
-0.00* |
-0.02 |
-0.02 |
-0.03 |
-0.03 |
-0.01 |
-0.01 |
-0.00 |
-0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
(0.00) |
(0.00) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.02) |
(0.02) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.00) |
(0.00) |
(0.00) |
(0.00) |
UDS |
0.87*** |
0.86*** |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.05) |
(0.05) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
XPOLITY |
|
|
0.82*** |
0.81*** |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.06) |
(0.07) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Polity2 (Interregnum) |
|
|
|
|
0.82*** |
0.82*** |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.07) |
(0.07) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regime Type |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.30** |
0.25* |
0.14*** |
0.13*** |
-0.06*** |
-0.06*** |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.14) |
(0.14) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
(0.01) |
Num. obs. |
273 |
273 |
254 |
254 |
254 |
254 |
142 |
142 |
273 |
273 |
273 |
273 |
Adj. R2 (full model) |
0.84 |
0.84 |
0.76 |
0.76 |
0.78 |
0.78 |
0.40 |
0.37 |
0.55 |
0.55 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
Adj. R2 (proj model) |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.75 |
0.75 |
0.77 |
0.77 |
0.05 |
0.02 |
0.52 |
0.52 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1 |